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2020 in Review: The Christmas Letter

For the record …

For the record (and since I’ve been so lax at blogging here this year):


Well, that was sure a year.

COVID-19 dominated our lives in a dozen different ways, as it did everyone else’s. In our case, we went from Empty Nesters to a Fully Full House. First James came home from school for Spring Break … and never went back, as the school went all-remote for the rest of the semester and this fall. And, of course, all those cool summer archaeology programs and internships were canceled, so he did some remote learning classes.

Then, once he was home, Dave’s mom, Gloria’s retirement community went on indefinite lockdown, so we had her move in with us. Dave’s office closed, sending him off to Work from Home. So all four of us got to rattle around together for months until it was safer and easier for Gloria to move back to her place.

On that work front, Dave’s still busy doing chief-of-staff and program management work at [REDACTED], albeit from a laptop and spare monitor on the breakfast room table. He hit two years tenure there this December, and is quite happy about it. Margie continues as the Human Resources Data Governance & Management Lead for [REDACTED], and has been recognized for her achievements by being handed even more big high-visibility projects. She was already full-time Work from Home; the biggest difference for her has been no trips out to the corporate HQ in [REDACTED]. 

James’ college career at Scripps has been turned into endless Zoom sessions. Fortunately, in our connected world, he’s stayed in touch with his friends. He’s completed the first half of his junior year, and plans a semester abroad in Sweden, focusing on Viking studies. Our cats, Kunoichi and Neko, at least, have enjoyed all the extra company.

Aside from that, things have been quiet. No live theater, no restaurant visits, no vacation travel. We did fly out to Scripps for Parents Day in February, and Margie and James made an isolated drive out there in the summer to donate James’ car (which was just accumulating dust and car insurance bills in a college parking building). 

Aside from that it’s been sitting at home, cutting our own hair, ordering delivery from local restaurants to help them stay afloat, having video happy hours with friends and family, and staying safe for ourselves and our loved ones. We miss traveling, having folk over for game parties, and we’ll miss our Twelfth Night party this year, but we’ve been blessed in not having anyone in our immediate circle die or face permanent health damage from COVID-19, and we intend to keep it that way. 

So, all in all, not the best of years, but a memorable one — and one we lived through. As always, being together makes both the occasional bumps survivable and the good times even better. So a very Merry Christmas (and other seasonal holidays and celebrations) to you all, and a Happy New Year, too.

The Myth and Romance of El Camino Real (mostly the myth)

Growing up in California, I’m quite used to the “bell” signs along highways, marking the route of the “King’s Highway” where missionaries once plodded piously along from one mission to the next.

Except, really, not so much, since the network was largely reinvented in the first few decades of the 20th Century by the automobile and tourism industry — though the marking “El Camino Real” with bells was also quite a boon for a key organizer’s husband, who owned the only bell foundry west of the Mississippi.




How El Camino Real, California’s ‘Royal Road,’ Was Invented
Mission bells along Highway 101 imply that motorists’ tires trace the same path as missionaries’ sandals. But much of El Camino Real’s story is imagined.

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Kid Kar

https://twitter.com/18965459/status/1005521904935948288

RT @_youhadonejob1: That car you drew in kindergarten does exist. https://t.co/3ZcdiiYaeX

Trump wants to ban German luxury cars

I would love to figure out if this is driven more by some vague sense that the US luxury auto market needs protection, or because Angela Merkel hasn’t been sufficiently fawning to him. His reported comment that he doesn’t want to see a single Mercedes or BMW driving down Fifth Avenue, unfortunately, doesn’t give us a clue to anything but his daftness.

As the article notes, both BMW and Mercedes-Benz have plants inside the United States (in South Carolina). Will those plants be shut down by the US, or by a retaliatory measure from the Germans? How will those voters act in November?

Trump’s escalating trade wars with, apparently, everyone, may or may not succeed in proving that the US economy is still number one, but regardless the cost in US jobs, and in US consumer price increases, will be staggering.




Trump to impose total ban on luxury German cars: report
President Trump wants to impose a total ban on the imports of German luxury cars, according to a new report from

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Trump meeting with automakers about how to consume more gasoline

Because of course he is.

Though to be fair, it seems that Trump’s plans actually go further than even the automobile manufacturers want. They kind of seem to like being able to show increasing fuel efficiency and value for consumers. They just want more time to implement them than the Obama Administration had given them.

Trump, apparently, wants to freeze the standards (not just delay them), and keep states (California and others who follow their lead) from requiring higher standards. The automakers like that last bit in concept (because a single standard is easier to work with), but are concerned that too hard a push will trigger court cases that will keep them uncertain about the future for an excessive period of time.

We’ve always been told that businesses don’t like uncertainty. The Trump administration seems determined to give it to them, in the guise of “helping” them.




Trump to meet with automakers on push to relax efficiency rules
Automaker do not want the administration to freeze the standards, with no future increases.

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Ford is turning into a Truck and SUV manufacturer

It’s dropping pretty much all of its car line-up.

This is clearly a market-driven decision. Americans, famously, like SUVs and trucks. But I have to wonder how much of it is a gamble on gasoline prices remaining fairly low, coupled with being a result of That Man in the White House deciding to roll back fuel economy standards. Which may also turn out to be a gamble for Ford.




Say goodbye to nearly all of Ford’s car lineup: Sales end by 2020
It’s killing the Focus, Fiesta, Fusion, and Taurus, will focus on SUVs and trucks.

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Google Maps is experimenting with natural directions

Like, “Turn right at the Burger King.”

Which sounds like a cool idea, and probably is in 99% of the cases. I can see wanting to limit the types of companies used as land marks (Burger King is obvious; Smith and Jones Legal Offices on the 14th Floor, probably not), and there’s a danger of companies going out of business. But that sounds like a refinement.

Plus, I now understand better the Maps Contributor questions about “Is this business plainly visible from the street?”




Google Maps uses landmarks to provide natural-sounding directions
Google Maps now uses local landmarks to give you more human-like directions.

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Potpourri for $500, Alex!

[Originally posted last Friday.]

1. I was a bit irked when I discovered the offspring had not set the alarm properly and was still asleep when I headed downstairs. I provided a poke, only to be informed fifteen seconds later (and quickly validated) that apparently either my alarm clock was screwed up, or else I had spontaneously awakened about half an hour early, thinking my alarm had gone off.

2. The offspring could have been forgiven for being a bit off, since she was in her first auto accident last night, driving home from a swim/dive meet in unexpectedly snowy/icy conditions, coming to a gentle (yet still ABS-invoking) stop at a signal, and getting rear-ended by another car whose ABS was not quite effective enough. NO INJURIES. Just a lot of jangled nerves (and a badly damaged rear bumper).

3. I actually served as announcer at said swim/dive meet, which was a first for me. It involved a lot less improv than I had been afraid of (which is good, since it was my first swim/dive meet, and I was unfamiliar with the cadence or what, specifically, I should be announcing). But it was a lot of fun, people asked if I did it for a living (!), and, to relate to No. 2 above, the girl who did the rear-ending was one of the competitors at the meet, and her mom (who drove up about five minutes after I returned to the scene) had been there, and both recognized my voice.

4. It turns out the Hulu app on our Blu-Ray player is no longer supported by Sony or Hulu, so we can’t watch Marvel’s Runaways that way. However, the Hulu phone app (but not the web page, as far as I can see) supports Chromecast, so that should work out well. Which is good, because we watched the first ep. and it was excellent.

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Does anyone actually give a car as a Christmas gift?

Because, as it’s Christmas Time, every car commercial seems to be about Cars with Giant Bows being Given as Gifts, and I’m trying to figure out if this is just symbolic thing, a real thing, or something car companies want to make a real thing.

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The Car That Sings

Well, not quite singing, but I think it is awesome that Nissan, in response to federal safety regulations to have its electric vehicles and hybrids actually make noise when moving (to signal pedestrians that a car is coming), isn’t producing a virtual motor sound, but an actual dynamic set of musical tonalities.

I have no idea what a busy city street like this would sound, but if this is the wave of the future, it’s a remarkably fun one.

(Unless, of course, this becomes a commercialized means of audio advertising, and we start having cars giving commercials as they drive down the street, or blaring out paid-for music of the driver’s choice. That would be highly annoying.)

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Quick-charging Electric Vehicle batteries become a lot more real

While it news-releasey, if the info here is correct, it really is a major step forward.

Electric Vehicles, like petroleum-driven ones, need refueling. That problem for EVs is increased by both low range and the time it takes to recharge. Nobody wants to get stuck somewhere at a charging station that’s going to take an hour to do its job, whether running errands or going on a long trip.

Worse, long charge times tie up recharging infrastructure. That infrastructure is already a problem for EVs — it’s not like there’s a charging station at every major city intersection or overpass on the interstate. If a car is tied up twenty, thirty, sixty minutes or longer, then any other EVs that need a charge at that rare spot will have to wait — or extra charging stations will need installation, at higher cost, and with more dubious return on investment for someone betting on how many EVs need charging.

But a battery that lasts two hundred miles and just takes six minutes to charge? Heck, I’ve had stops at the gas station that were significantly longer than that. That, suddenly, makes EVs that much more practical.




A new electric car battery lasts for 200 miles and charges in just 6 minutes
These batteries could be in cars as soon as next year.

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A rail line that runs along the Front Range? Inconceivable!

Or, on the contrary, the idea of a passenger rail service running from Ft Collins to Pueblo seems to be a no-brainer. But, apparently, someone needs to figure out who is going to pay for it and who will make it profitable.

Were I the municipalities outside of Denver that would be stops along the way, I would be begging to throw money at this idea. Hell, Denver itself would benefit from having commuter connections from Ft Collins and Colorado Springs outside of bus service.




Colorado commission works on plan for Front Range passenger rail
A state commission has begun exploring ways to realize Colorado transportation officials’ vision of passenger rail service that stretches up and down the Front Range.
The commission, which includes government representatives from Denver to Trinidad, has until Dec. 1 to submit to the legislature a plan detailing steps forward and funding options. The ultimate hope is a commuter rail that runs from Fort Collins to Pueblo, which probably would cos…

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The Cars They Are A-Changing

And significantly. A lot of standard things — from steering wheels with physical linkages to rear view mirrors to spare tires to CD players to ignition keys — are on the road to oblivion alongside the engine crank.




Car Makers Bid Adieu to Old Standbys – WSJ
Analog gauges, CD players are giving way to digital displays, auto-pilot technologies

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On Driving Stick — for Now

I love the manual transmission in my Subaru Impreza. When I need to get up and go, or when I'm maneuvering in a mountain setting, it's lovely and comfortable and just how I want to drive. Even in suburbia, downshifting to use engine compression rather than breaking feels much more comfortable in control.

That said, driving stick in stop-and-go traffic is a huge pain, and it's dealing with it in snowy weather is less charming than in dry. And there's the additional hand that's needed — I don't text or Facebook while I drive (well, I really try not to), but even dealing with drive-thru food is less convenient / more dangerous if you're having to deal with the stick.

I'm not sure what I'll do when I replace the Impreza in a year or two. The semi-manual setting on our Outback, complete with shift paddles on the wheel, is fun to use in the mountains, too, and sometimes it's pretty nice not to deal with one more thing to do. I'll have to see how I feel about it at the time (and, as this article notes, what's available). I'd hate to give up the stick, but it may be time to acknowledge that it's a car technology that has come and gone.




Do You Drive Stick? Fans of Manual Transmission Can’t Let Go – WSJ
Fans can’t reverse trend, no matter how tightly they clutch manual transmissions

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VICTORY!

The Kitchen Project is Officially Over. We finally (for the first time since February) got both cars back in the garage. And before the snowy season starts.

Of such things are a warm and fuzzy feeling made.

#kitchenproject

 

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When machines are asked to make ethical decisions

Autonomous cars are going to bring to a head some interesting ethical issues — including the idea that people agree broadly on ethical concerns, but tend to differ — a lot — when it comes to specific circumstances.

With human drivers, we sort of give this a pass. In the heat of the moment, if a person makes the wrong decision then we tend to forgive them. We know that people make mistakes, make erroneous snap judgments. If I swerve to avoid the dog in the road that I see, but don't realize I'm turning into a couple of children, or off of a cliff, people will tut-tut, feel sorry for me, but not ascribe any particular malice or ethical flaw.

But if a computer driving a car does that, or decides that going over the cliff (killing the driver) is better than hitting a kid in the road, or that swerving to avoid a kid is okay even if it kills an elderly person — or any other such permutation — then people are going to get into some very sharp arguments (and law suits) over those rules.

It's going to be fascinating to watch — but not much fun to be involved in.




Of Cats And Cliffs: The Ethical Dilemmas Of The Driverless Car
We make decisions every day based on risk – perhaps running across a road to catch a bus if the road is quiet, but not if it’s busy. Sometimes these decisions must be made in an instant, in the face of dire circumstances: a child runs out in front of your car, but there are other dangers to either side, say a cat and a cliff. How do you decide? Do you risk your own safety to protect that of others?

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I think I've found our new camping trailer

Heh.

Originally shared by +CK Wylde:

+Ron Fowler This is what I imagine camping with you to be like.

 

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Bunnies vs Beemers

Rabbits at DIA parking lots are causing problems with wiring — especially soy-based wiring like German cars use.

Among all the measures being used to drive off the bunnies, the one that caught my eye are "predator poles," to encourage raptors to take care of the problem "naturally." Bravo.




Rabbits damage cars near Denver airport
DENVER, CO – “You come home and you are totally shocked this happened.” Pilot Robert Favuzza had a run in with the rabbits in the employee parking lot after four days of flying. “I saw a couple bun…

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I cannot count the ways this would be a bad idea

But it's fun to think about.

Originally shared by +Kimberley Mackey:

1969 Lynx- Jaguar XKSS

 

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The hidden costs (and benefits) of electric vehicles

A new study appears to be the most thorough yet on the second order pollution impact of electric vehicles. First order effects — actual pollution out of the tail pipe — makes EVs look much cleaner, but getting into things like how the electrical power for them is produced in the first place can make for a very different picture; in areas that use dirty power (from coal, for example), EVs may net out as greater polluters.

This has been speculated about for a long time, but it's not a death knell by any means for the whole idea of electric vehicles. For example, the article notes that electrical energy generation in the US is getting steadily cleaner (recent SCOTUS ruling notwithstanding), and that could easily tip the balance, as could greater improvement in battery efficiency (driven by faster evolution as more EVs come on the market).

It is certainly useful to remember that any comparison of A and B needs to take into account more than just A and B in a vacuum. But by that token, it doesn't appear that the pollution cost of petroleum extraction and refining and transport was considered in the balance sheet of petrol-based cars (at which point the pollution cost of sourcing the fuel for electrical generators also needs to be considered).

It's never simple, and the data is often up to criticism, but it's worthwhile to keep poking at it.




How much do electric cars actually pollute? | Ars Technica
A new assessment suggests more than we think, outside of a few large cities.

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