| Site<\/u><\/td>\n | Obama<\/u><\/td>\n | McCain<\/u><\/td>\n | Toss-Up<\/u><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n| \n | 273<\/strong><\/td>\n | 265<\/td>\n | <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | Electoral-vote.com<\/a><\/td>\n | 281<\/strong><\/td>\n | 230<\/td>\n | 27<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | FiveThirtyEight.com<\/a><\/td>\n | 336<\/strong><\/td>\n | 202<\/td>\n | <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | Pollster.com<\/a><\/td>\n | 250<\/td>\n | 163<\/td>\n | 125<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | 270ToWin.com<\/a><\/td>\n | 202<\/td>\n | 163<\/td>\n | 173<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | Hedgehog Report<\/a><\/td>\n | 364<\/strong><\/td>\n | 174<\/td>\n | <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | FederalReview.com<\/a><\/td>\n | 282<\/strong><\/td>\n | 185<\/td>\n | 71<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n | 3 Blue Dudes<\/a><\/td>\n | 250<\/td>\n | 163<\/td>\n | 126<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n | Of the above, every single site gives Obama the lead, and five of the eight give him enough electoral votes for the win. 3 Blue Dudes does an even broader survey, and they only find one site giving the lead to McCain. And note that these are not all “liberal” Obama-loving sites. Most are fairly neutral. The one with the biggest Obama projection has a “Vote McCain” button in the sidebar, and another that gives Obama a win is clearly, vehemently against the Democrat.<\/p>\n Most of the sites are now giving Colorado — cautiously — to Obama. Indiana, Florida, Virginia, North Caroline, Pennsylvania, Ohio, all show as in play.<\/p>\n Now, this is still early days. The election is over a month away, and while looking at McCain’s current performance (not to mention that of his running mate) it seems unlikely that anything could turn the election, we still have debates, Bradley Effects, and various unknowns and “surprises” ahead.<\/p>\n But I’m feeling very, very guardedly <\/em>optimistic. (And sure that I am now jinxing it.)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" It’s been a couple of weeks since I’ve reported on the current electoral college predictions, waiting first for the debate, then for the bailout bit to finally percolate into the…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_seopress_titles_title":"","_seopress_titles_desc":"","_seopress_robots_index":"","_seopress_robots_follow":"","_seopress_robots_imageindex":"","_seopress_robots_snippet":"","_seopress_robots_primary_cat":"","_seopress_robots_breadcrumbs":"","_seopress_robots_freeze_modified_date":"","_seopress_robots_custom_modified_date":"","_seopress_robots_canonical":"","_seopress_social_fb_title":"","_seopress_social_fb_desc":"","_seopress_social_fb_img":"","_seopress_social_fb_img_attachment_id":0,"_seopress_social_fb_img_width":0,"_seopress_social_fb_img_height":0,"_seopress_social_twitter_title":"","_seopress_social_twitter_desc":"","_seopress_social_twitter_img":"","_seopress_social_twitter_img_attachment_id":0,"_seopress_social_twitter_img_width":0,"_seopress_social_twitter_img_height":0,"_seopress_redirections_value":"","_seopress_redirections_enabled":"","_seopress_redirections_enabled_regex":"","_seopress_redirections_logged_status":"","_seopress_redirections_param":"","_seopress_redirections_type":0,"_seopress_analysis_target_kw":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[54],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-12768","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-elections-2008"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":30821,"url":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2012\/10\/24\/the-electoral-college-everyones-favorite-election-year-complaint.html","url_meta":{"origin":12768,"position":0},"title":"The Electoral College: Everyone’s Favorite Election Year Complaint","author":"***Dave","date":"Wed 24-Oct-12 8:53am","format":false,"excerpt":"Every four years the US gets into a big internal debate (at least in some circles) about the Electoral College and how it distorts the system from a pure, fine democracy into safe states, swing states, and the potential for winning the popular vote but not the electoral vote. For\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Politics & Law"","block_context":{"text":"Politics & Law","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/category\/politics-law"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/california-electoral-college.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/california-electoral-college.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/california-electoral-college.jpg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/10\/california-electoral-college.jpg?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":31269,"url":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2012\/11\/07\/viewed-askewed.html","url_meta":{"origin":12768,"position":1},"title":"Viewed Askewed","author":"***Dave","date":"Wed 7-Nov-12 11:23am","format":false,"excerpt":"The \"Unskewed Polls\" site, led by Dean Chambers, was clung to desperately by a number of GOP partisans, and was a keystone of the arguments by folks like George Will and Donald Trump and Bryan Fischer that Romney would win in a landslide of 300 ECV or more.Granted, there was\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "~PlusPosts"","block_context":{"text":"~PlusPosts","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/category\/blogging\/plusposts"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":13634,"url":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2008\/11\/03\/electoral_college_watch_3.html","url_meta":{"origin":12768,"position":2},"title":"Electoral College Watch","author":"***Dave","date":"Mon 3-Nov-08 7:06am","format":false,"excerpt":"A week later\u00a0(and a\u00a0day before The Big Day), here we are at long last. This will be the last one of these I do, except as a retrospective with the...","rel":"","context":"In "Elections 2008"","block_context":{"text":"Elections 2008","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/category\/politics-law\/elections-2008"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":13672,"url":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2008\/10\/28\/electoral_college_watch_4.html","url_meta":{"origin":12768,"position":3},"title":"Electoral college watch","author":"***Dave","date":"Tue 28-Oct-08 9:08am","format":false,"excerpt":"A week later\u00a0(and a week before The Big Day), here we are. (+ means an increase, * means unchanged, - means a decrease) Site Obama McCain Toss-Up ElectionProjection.com\u00a0 375\u00a0+ 163\u00a0-...","rel":"","context":"In "Elections 2008"","block_context":{"text":"Elections 2008","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/category\/politics-law\/elections-2008"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":13712,"url":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2008\/10\/14\/electoral_college_watch_6.html","url_meta":{"origin":12768,"position":4},"title":"Electoral College Watch","author":"***Dave","date":"Tue 14-Oct-08 12:15pm","format":false,"excerpt":"A week later, here we are (+ means an increase, * means unchanged, - means a decrease): Site Obama McCain Toss-Up ElectionProjection.com\u00a0 369 + 169 - Electoral-vote.com 357 + 181...","rel":"","context":"In "Elections 2008"","block_context":{"text":"Elections 2008","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/category\/politics-law\/elections-2008"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":8821,"url":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2006\/04\/11\/bypassing_the_e.html","url_meta":{"origin":12768,"position":5},"title":"Bypassing the Electoral College","author":"***Dave","date":"Tue 11-Apr-06 6:40am","format":false,"excerpt":"Since nobody seems to be able to muster the outrage sufficient to amend the constitution to change the electoral college, some states -- including Colorado -- are trying an end...","rel":"","context":"In "Politics & Law"","block_context":{"text":"Politics & Law","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/category\/politics-law"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12768","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=12768"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12768\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=12768"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=12768"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=12768"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}} |