{"id":13692,"date":"2008-10-21T10:24:26","date_gmt":"2008-10-21T17:24:26","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp\/2008\/10\/21\/electoral-college-watch-5.html"},"modified":"2008-10-21T10:24:26","modified_gmt":"2008-10-21T17:24:26","slug":"electoral_college_watch_5","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2008\/10\/21\/electoral_college_watch_5.html","title":{"rendered":"Electoral College watch"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2008\/10\/14\/electoral_college_watch_2.html\" target=\"_blank\">A week later<\/a>, here we are (+ means an increase, * means unchanged, &#8211; means a decrease):<\/p>\n<table border=\"1\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td> <u>Site<\/u><\/td>\n<td> <u>Obama<\/u><\/td>\n<td> <u>McCain<\/u><\/td>\n<td> <u>Toss-Up<\/u><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.electionprojection.com\/index.shtml\" target=\"_blank\">ElectionProjection.com<\/a>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p align=\"right\"> <strong>364&nbsp;<\/strong>&#8211;<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p align=\"right\"> 174&nbsp;+<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td> <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.electoral-vote.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">Electoral-vote.com<\/a><\/td>\n<td>\n<p align=\"right\"> <strong>364 <\/strong>+<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p align=\"right\"> 171 &#8211;<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p align=\"right\"> 3&nbsp;&#8211;<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.fivethirtyeight.com\" target=\"_blank\">FiveThirtyEight.com<\/a><\/td>\n<td>\n<p align=\"right\"> <strong>344&nbsp;<\/strong>&#8211;<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p align=\"right\"> 194&nbsp;+<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td> <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td> <a href=\"http:\/\/pollster.com\" target=\"_blank\">Pollster.com<\/a><\/td>\n<td>\n<p align=\"right\"> <strong>286<\/strong>&nbsp;&#8211;<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p align=\"right\"> 157&nbsp;+<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p align=\"right\"> 95&nbsp;+<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.270towin.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">270ToWin.com<\/a><\/td>\n<td>\n<p align=\"right\"> <strong>277&nbsp;<\/strong>+<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p align=\"right\"> 163 *<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p align=\"right\"> 98&nbsp;&#8211;<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.davidwissing.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">Hedgehog Report<\/a><\/td>\n<td>\n<p align=\"right\"> <strong>326<\/strong>&nbsp;&#8211;<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p align=\"right\"> 212&nbsp;+<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td> <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.federalreview.com\/2008election\/2008election.php\" target=\"_blank\">FederalReview.com<\/a><\/td>\n<td>\n<p align=\"right\"> <strong>338<\/strong>&nbsp;&#8211;<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p align=\"right\"> 166 &#8211;<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p align=\"right\"> 34&nbsp;+<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td> <a href=\"http:\/\/3bluedudes.com\/ProjectDatabase.htm\" target=\"_blank\">3 Blue Dudes<\/a><\/td>\n<td>\n<p align=\"right\"> <strong>313<\/strong>&nbsp;&#8211;<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p align=\"right\"> 166&nbsp;&#8211;<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p align=\"right\"> 59&nbsp;+<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td> <a href=\"http:\/\/colleyrankings.com\/election2008\/\" target=\"_blank\">Electoral Scoreboard<\/a><\/td>\n<td>\n<p align=\"right\"> <strong>367<\/strong>&nbsp;+<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p align=\"right\"> 171&nbsp;&#8211;<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p align=\"right\">\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p> &nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>As previously predicted, the gap growth has stalled, and even it&#8217;s even&nbsp;contracted a bit. Different sources are showing some gains for Obama, more have gains for McCain, and a number have shown growth&nbsp;in the &#8220;tie&#8221; states. Note, though, that everyone on the list is now giving the electoral majority (in most cases very comfortably) to Obama.<\/p>\n<p>Over&nbsp;in the other races, here&#8217;s how things are looking.<\/p>\n<table border=\"1\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td> <u>Site<\/u><\/td>\n<td>\n<p><u>Senate<br \/> (49-49)<\/u>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td> <u>House<br \/> (233-199)<\/u><\/td>\n<td> <u>Govs<br \/> (28-22)<\/u><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.electionprojection.com\/index.shtml\" target=\"_blank\">ElectionProjection.com<\/a>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p align=\"right\"> 57-41<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p align=\"right\"> 251-184<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td> 29-21<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.electoral-vote.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">Electoral-vote.com<\/a><\/td>\n<td>\n<p align=\"right\"> 58-41<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p align=\"right\"> 250-184<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p align=\"right\"> &nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.fivethirtyeight.com\" target=\"_blank\">FiveThirtyEight.com<\/a><\/td>\n<td>\n<p align=\"right\"> 57-41<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p align=\"right\"> &nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td> <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td> <a href=\"http:\/\/pollster.com\" target=\"_blank\">Pollster.com<\/a><\/td>\n<td>\n<p align=\"right\"> 55-39<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p align=\"right\"> 246-166<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p align=\"right\"> 27-21&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td> <a href=\"http:\/\/colleyrankings.com\/election2008\/\" target=\"_blank\">Electoral Scoreboard<\/a><\/td>\n<td>\n<p align=\"right\"> 53-39<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p align=\"right\"> &nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p align=\"right\">\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p> &nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>I haven&#8217;t spelled out the tied and independent numbers; you can interpolate them.<\/p>\n<p>The most interesting thing I&#8217;ve heard in the Senate race was a very sad scenario in which Joe Lieberman might still be able to wield influence, i.e., if the Dems get to&nbsp;59 seats, and Joe ends up as the man who can give them a closure-ensuring 60. Now, that&#8217;s the kind of trouble one wants to be in, but I&#8217;d still almost be willing to sacrifice it in order to send him off to the wood shed (literally &#8212; have his office moved to a wood shed) where we don&#8217;t need to hear from him any more.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A week later, here we are (+ means an increase, * means unchanged, &#8211; means a decrease): Site Obama McCain Toss-Up ElectionProjection.com&nbsp; 364&nbsp;&#8211; 174&nbsp;+ Electoral-vote.com 364 + 171 &#8211; 3&nbsp;-&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_seopress_robots_primary_cat":"","_seopress_titles_title":"","_seopress_titles_desc":"","_seopress_robots_index":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[54],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-13692","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-elections-2008"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":13672,"url":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2008\/10\/28\/electoral_college_watch_4.html","url_meta":{"origin":13692,"position":0},"title":"Electoral college watch","author":"***Dave","date":"Tue 28-Oct-08 9:08am","format":false,"excerpt":"A week later\u00a0(and a week before The Big Day), here we are. (+ means an increase, * means unchanged, - means a decrease) Site Obama McCain Toss-Up ElectionProjection.com\u00a0 375\u00a0+ 163\u00a0-...","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Elections 2008&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Elections 2008","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/category\/politics-law\/elections-2008"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":13712,"url":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2008\/10\/14\/electoral_college_watch_6.html","url_meta":{"origin":13692,"position":1},"title":"Electoral College Watch","author":"***Dave","date":"Tue 14-Oct-08 12:15pm","format":false,"excerpt":"A week later, here we are (+ means an increase, * means unchanged, - means a decrease): Site Obama McCain Toss-Up ElectionProjection.com\u00a0 369 + 169 - Electoral-vote.com 357 + 181...","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Elections 2008&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Elections 2008","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/category\/politics-law\/elections-2008"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":13634,"url":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2008\/11\/03\/electoral_college_watch_3.html","url_meta":{"origin":13692,"position":2},"title":"Electoral College Watch","author":"***Dave","date":"Mon 3-Nov-08 7:06am","format":false,"excerpt":"A week later\u00a0(and a\u00a0day before The Big Day), here we are at long last. This will be the last one of these I do, except as a retrospective with the...","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Elections 2008&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Elections 2008","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/category\/politics-law\/elections-2008"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":12768,"url":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2008\/10\/01\/electoral_college_watch_2.html","url_meta":{"origin":13692,"position":3},"title":"Electoral College Watch","author":"***Dave","date":"Wed 1-Oct-08 8:44pm","format":false,"excerpt":"It's been a couple of weeks since I've reported on the current electoral college predictions, waiting first for the debate, then for the bailout bit to finally percolate into the...","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Elections 2008&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Elections 2008","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/category\/politics-law\/elections-2008"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":12737,"url":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2008\/10\/07\/electoral_college_watch.html","url_meta":{"origin":13692,"position":4},"title":"Electoral College Watch","author":"***Dave","date":"Tue 7-Oct-08 2:41pm","format":false,"excerpt":"It hasn't been quite a week since the last\u00a0time, \u00a0but since we're heading into a debate tonight (note to self: DVR!), here's where the candidates know they stand: Site Obama...","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Elections 2008&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Elections 2008","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/category\/politics-law\/elections-2008"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":12832,"url":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2008\/09\/19\/poll_positions_2.html","url_meta":{"origin":13692,"position":5},"title":"Poll positions","author":"***Dave","date":"Fri 19-Sep-08 7:54pm","format":false,"excerpt":"I've been staying away from the polls for a bit, given the lag effect of the RNC. Things are supposedly trending back \"good,\" but remain tight. ElectionProjection.com: Obama 273, McCain...","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Elections 2008&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Elections 2008","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/category\/politics-law\/elections-2008"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13692","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13692"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13692\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13692"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13692"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13692"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}