{"id":13712,"date":"2008-10-14T12:15:13","date_gmt":"2008-10-14T19:15:13","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp\/2008\/10\/14\/electoral-college-watch-6.html"},"modified":"2008-10-14T12:15:13","modified_gmt":"2008-10-14T19:15:13","slug":"electoral_college_watch_6","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2008\/10\/14\/electoral_college_watch_6.html","title":{"rendered":"Electoral College Watch"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2008\/10\/07\/electoral_college_watch_1.html\" target=\"_blank\">A week later<\/a>, here we are (+ means an increase, * means unchanged, &#8211; means a decrease):<\/p>\n<table border=\"1\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td> <u>Site<\/u><\/td>\n<td> <u>Obama<\/u><\/td>\n<td> <u>McCain<\/u><\/td>\n<td> <u>Toss-Up<\/u><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.electionprojection.com\/index.shtml\" target=\"_blank\">ElectionProjection.com<\/a>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p align=\"right\"> <strong>369 <\/strong>+<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p align=\"right\"> 169 &#8211;<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td> <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.electoral-vote.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">Electoral-vote.com<\/a><\/td>\n<td>\n<p align=\"right\"> <strong>357 <\/strong>+<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p align=\"right\"> 181 &#8211;<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p align=\"right\"> 15 *<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.fivethirtyeight.com\" target=\"_blank\">FiveThirtyEight.com<\/a><\/td>\n<td>\n<p align=\"right\"> <strong>359.8 <\/strong>+<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p align=\"right\"> 178.2 &#8211;<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td> <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td> <a href=\"http:\/\/pollster.com\" target=\"_blank\">Pollster.com<\/a><\/td>\n<td>\n<p align=\"right\"> <strong>320<\/strong>&nbsp;*<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p align=\"right\"> 155 &#8211;<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p align=\"right\"> 63 +<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.270towin.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">270ToWin.com<\/a><\/td>\n<td>\n<p align=\"right\"> 264 *<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p align=\"right\"> 163 *<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p align=\"right\"> 111 *<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.davidwissing.com\/\" target=\"_blank\">Hedgehog Report<\/a><\/td>\n<td>\n<p align=\"right\"> <strong>354<\/strong>&nbsp;+<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p align=\"right\"> 184 &#8211;<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td> <\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.federalreview.com\/2008election\/2008election.php\" target=\"_blank\">FederalReview.com<\/a><\/td>\n<td>\n<p align=\"right\"> <strong>358<\/strong>&nbsp;+<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p align=\"right\"> 169 &#8211;<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p align=\"right\"> 11 &#8211;<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td> <a href=\"http:\/\/3bluedudes.com\/ProjectDatabase.htm\" target=\"_blank\">3 Blue Dudes<\/a><\/td>\n<td>\n<p align=\"right\"> <strong>333<\/strong>&nbsp;+<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p align=\"right\"> 169 +<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p align=\"right\"> 36&nbsp;&#8211;<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td> <a href=\"http:\/\/colleyrankings.com\/election2008\/\" target=\"_blank\">Electoral Scoreboard<\/a><\/td>\n<td>\n<p align=\"right\"> <strong>338<\/strong>&nbsp;+<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p align=\"right\"> 200&nbsp;&#8211;<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td>\n<p align=\"right\"> &nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p> &nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Interestingly, a week ago everyone was talking about how the spread between Obama and McCain would likely slow, or even stabilize, as more and more of the undecideds decided. Instead, Obama continues to widen the electoral gap, in a few cases substantially.<\/p>\n<p>The other thing that&#8217;s getting interesting to follow is the Senate race. The Dems, of course, are at 51 currently (the &#8220;1&#8221; being quasi-Democrat Joe Lieberman). Of the above sites that have an easy access to a Senate race counter, the spread is everything form 55 to 59 when the dust clears. Nobody is seriously suggesting that the Dems might get a cloture-proof 60 yet (I&#8217;m not 100% sold they should or shouldn&#8217;t), but it&#8217;s awfully close in some of the races.<\/p>\n<p>Crossing fingers here &#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A week later, here we are (+ means an increase, * means unchanged, &#8211; means a decrease): Site Obama McCain Toss-Up ElectionProjection.com&nbsp; 369 + 169 &#8211; Electoral-vote.com 357 + 181&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_seopress_titles_title":"","_seopress_titles_desc":"","_seopress_robots_index":"","_seopress_robots_follow":"","_seopress_robots_imageindex":"","_seopress_robots_snippet":"","_seopress_robots_primary_cat":"","_seopress_robots_breadcrumbs":"","_seopress_robots_freeze_modified_date":"","_seopress_robots_custom_modified_date":"","_seopress_robots_canonical":"","_seopress_social_fb_title":"","_seopress_social_fb_desc":"","_seopress_social_fb_img":"","_seopress_social_fb_img_attachment_id":0,"_seopress_social_fb_img_width":0,"_seopress_social_fb_img_height":0,"_seopress_social_twitter_title":"","_seopress_social_twitter_desc":"","_seopress_social_twitter_img":"","_seopress_social_twitter_img_attachment_id":0,"_seopress_social_twitter_img_width":0,"_seopress_social_twitter_img_height":0,"_seopress_redirections_value":"","_seopress_redirections_enabled":"","_seopress_redirections_enabled_regex":"","_seopress_redirections_logged_status":"","_seopress_redirections_param":"","_seopress_redirections_type":0,"_seopress_analysis_target_kw":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[54],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-13712","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-elections-2008"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":13692,"url":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2008\/10\/21\/electoral_college_watch_5.html","url_meta":{"origin":13712,"position":0},"title":"Electoral College watch","author":"***Dave","date":"Tue 21-Oct-08 10:24am","format":false,"excerpt":"A week later, here we are (+ means an increase, * means unchanged, - means a decrease): Site Obama McCain Toss-Up ElectionProjection.com\u00a0 364\u00a0- 174\u00a0+ Electoral-vote.com 364 + 171 - 3\u00a0-...","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Elections 2008&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Elections 2008","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/category\/politics-law\/elections-2008"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":13672,"url":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2008\/10\/28\/electoral_college_watch_4.html","url_meta":{"origin":13712,"position":1},"title":"Electoral college watch","author":"***Dave","date":"Tue 28-Oct-08 9:08am","format":false,"excerpt":"A week later\u00a0(and a week before The Big Day), here we are. (+ means an increase, * means unchanged, - means a decrease) Site Obama McCain Toss-Up ElectionProjection.com\u00a0 375\u00a0+ 163\u00a0-...","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Elections 2008&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Elections 2008","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/category\/politics-law\/elections-2008"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":13634,"url":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2008\/11\/03\/electoral_college_watch_3.html","url_meta":{"origin":13712,"position":2},"title":"Electoral College Watch","author":"***Dave","date":"Mon 3-Nov-08 7:06am","format":false,"excerpt":"A week later\u00a0(and a\u00a0day before The Big Day), here we are at long last. This will be the last one of these I do, except as a retrospective with the...","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Elections 2008&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Elections 2008","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/category\/politics-law\/elections-2008"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":12832,"url":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2008\/09\/19\/poll_positions_2.html","url_meta":{"origin":13712,"position":3},"title":"Poll positions","author":"***Dave","date":"Fri 19-Sep-08 7:54pm","format":false,"excerpt":"I've been staying away from the polls for a bit, given the lag effect of the RNC. Things are supposedly trending back \"good,\" but remain tight. ElectionProjection.com: Obama 273, McCain...","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Elections 2008&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Elections 2008","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/category\/politics-law\/elections-2008"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":12768,"url":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2008\/10\/01\/electoral_college_watch_2.html","url_meta":{"origin":13712,"position":4},"title":"Electoral College Watch","author":"***Dave","date":"Wed 1-Oct-08 8:44pm","format":false,"excerpt":"It's been a couple of weeks since I've reported on the current electoral college predictions, waiting first for the debate, then for the bailout bit to finally percolate into the...","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Elections 2008&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Elections 2008","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/category\/politics-law\/elections-2008"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":12909,"url":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2008\/09\/09\/poll_position_3.html","url_meta":{"origin":13712,"position":5},"title":"Poll position","author":"***Dave","date":"Tue 9-Sep-08 2:00pm","format":false,"excerpt":"This is a hard post for me to write, because, rational or not, I keep expecting Disaster to Strike, and Defeat to be Seized the Teeth of Victory -- whether...","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Elections 2008&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Elections 2008","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/category\/politics-law\/elections-2008"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13712","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13712"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13712\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13712"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13712"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13712"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}