{"id":18365,"date":"2010-09-01T15:20:13","date_gmt":"2010-09-01T21:20:13","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/?p=18365"},"modified":"2010-09-01T15:20:13","modified_gmt":"2010-09-01T21:20:13","slug":"technology-tottering-toward-extinction","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2010\/09\/01\/technology-tottering-toward-extinction.html","title":{"rendered":"Technology tottering toward extinction?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>An interesting article here that seems the appropriate sort of thing for me to piece through &#8230;.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.livescience.com\/technology\/1--technologies-going-extinct-100802.html\">11 Technologies in Danger of Going Extinct | LiveScience<\/a><\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Here are 11 devices \u2014 some you&#8217;d expect and some you might not \u2014 that are still roaming the streets but facing rapid extinction.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Fax Machines<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s true that faxes have existed in various forms since as far back as  the 1800s, but they have finally run their course. This is due largely  to the growth of email, smartphones and touch-screen technology that  allows users to sign documents electronically. According to Pixmania,  the largest electronics retailer in Europe, it will be hard to find  stores that stock them in just a year\u2019s time.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>I&#8217;m not sure about Europe, but I don&#8217;t expect to see fax machines (or AIO devices that handle faxes) vanishing any time soon.\u00a0 Using electronic signatures is fine, but there remain too many circumstances where either the technological infrastructure is not there, or where the fax is being used for something other than signature pages.<\/p>\n<p>I still use a fax machine at least once or twice a month at home (very rarely at the office).\u00a0 It will eventually give way to scan-to-email sooner or later, but I wouldn&#8217;t mothball those fax machines yet.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><strong>Landline Phones<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Cell phones and online video chat (via both smartphones and computers)  are giving landlines a run for their money. In fact, nearly a quarter of  households in the United States have already ditched landlines and 50  percent of adults aged 25 to 29 only use a mobile device, according to a  report by the National Center for Health Statistics. The appeal of the  cell phone includes instant accessibility to anyone at anytime, while  the land-bound landline stays at home.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Actually, email and video chat are killing all phones to some degree.\u00a0 That said, POTS phones at home tend to have better receiption and lower prices than mobiles.\u00a0 The two are not necessarily exclusive, and I suspect most homes will have (with wireless headsets) land lines for some time to come.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><strong>Beepers<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Yes, beepers are indeed still around. However, most of those still in  use are by those in the medical field. Since the demand for these  devices has been on the outs for quite awhile, it\u2019s only a matter of  time before they become extinct for good.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Margie still uses one, just because she doesn&#8217;t want to give everyone and their brother at the office her mobile number.\u00a0 But, yes, I&#8217;d expect pagers will vanish in the not too distant future.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><strong>DVD players<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Just a decade ago, consumers were trading in VCRs for DVD players. Now,  many shoppers are instead opting for Blu-ray and HD discs, which  provide high-quality video images. Since these discs are not compatible  with traditional DVD players \u2013 and the prices for them are dropping \u2013  there is no longer an urgent need for the once-coveted DVD player. The  growing demand for streaming movies via game consoles and the Internet  is also a player in changing the game.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>I think these will go away when DVD players start wearing out or breaking, or when the studios stop releasing (or delay releasing) DVD for Blu-Ray.<\/p>\n<p>In the meantime, all those DVD discs still work just fine, and the difference between DVD and Blu-Ray are not nearly so great as that between VHS and DVD.<\/p>\n<p>Streaming video is a growing competitor, but not nearly as many people want to watch movies on their computers &#8212; or jury-rig additional devices to run it through their TV &#8212; as the technorati think.\u00a0 It&#8217;s most likely the eventual winner here, but it will be several years and at least one hot tech item before it takes off with the general public.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><strong>Film Projectors<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>In 2005, less than 100 movie screens in the United States used digital  projectors. Now there are close to 16,000 digital cinema screens, with  over 5,000 of them having stereoscopic (3-D) capabilities. Digital film  projectors allow a cleaner and crisper viewing experience compared to  traditional film projectors, which often makes the picture scratch or  break. Movie studios are also pulling for the full digital revolution,  as it saves them significant costs in making film prints and shipping  them to and from the theaters in bulky metal containers.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>I have no basis for knowing what the trajectory here is, but I agree that digital is where it will be at, sooner rather than later.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><strong>The Computer Mouse<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Now that you can swipe, pinch to zoom, scroll and use other gesture  controls found on the iPhone and iPad without a traditional computer  mouse, the need for one is slowly slipping away. Apple also recently  announced the arrival of a Magic Trackpad, a Bluetooth device that runs  on batteries and performs gesture recognition similar to that of an iPad or iPhone.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>It&#8217;s unclear the basis for this prediction is. I don&#8217;t see physical keyboards going away, either.\u00a0 Trackpads might take the place of mice in time &#8212; and it may be faster than I think &#8212; but I wouldn&#8217;t get rid of my mouse just yet.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><strong>Cell Phone Chargers<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Wireless charger mats are expected to replace of the oft-misplaced  cell phone charger. The mat, which plugs into the wall, charges various  gadgets at once &#8212; from cell phones to GPS devices &#8212; as they rest on  top. And to save on energy, it reads when the battery is full and then  stops the charging process.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>I don&#8217;t see this happening very soon, as it requires a fair amount of cooperation and change from a variety of manufacturer to make their devices mat-compatible. Plus, of course, there&#8217;s a 2-year-plus transition involved.<\/p>\n<p>Now, replacing idiosyncratic chargers with one of the two or three varieties of mini-USB or micro-USB, and having those pluggable into PCs or generic outlet units &#8212; we&#8217;re there technically and that removes a lot of that frustration.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><strong>Plasma TVs<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Sleek and slender Plasma TVs may be light-years away from the chunky  box unit you had in your living room only a few years back. But when the cheaper and high-quality LCD screens came into town, consumers jumped  ship. Now, however, more TV owners are shopping for LCD TVs that use LED backlighting, an eco-friendly alternative compared to the fluorescent  lights used in traditional LCD televisions.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Yeah, this was a pretty straightforward shift.<\/p>\n<p>That said, we have an LCD TV with fluorescents, and I don&#8217;t expect to swap that out for quite some time (i.e., until the TV breaks).<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><strong>Credit Cards<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s hard to imagine life without the plastic credit card, but the  advancements in mobile technology are gearing up to change the way we  tap our bank accounts forever. According to First Data, a processing  payment company, \u201cEverything you store in a leather wallet will migrate  to a mobile handset.\u201d Smartphones will have embedded RFID  (radio-frequency identification) chips that will allow shoppers to pay  for items by swiping the chip attached to their phone. Mobile devices  will also have apps that help shoppers manage their payments.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>It&#8217;s certainly a likely prospect, but let&#8217;s remember that not everybody has a smartphone, and not everybody will.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><strong>E-Book Readers<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>It seems like only yesterday retailers like Amazon and Barnes &amp;  Noble splashed onto the scene with e-reader devices that promised to  change the way readers read forever. These devices, however, are only a  stepping stone for what\u2019s to come. Now with one-stop-shop devices like the iPad that allow  you to surf the Internet, watch videos and read books (via e-book apps), basic e-readers may not be as necessary after all.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Maybe. Maybe not.\u00a0 That\u00a0 technological uncertainty, plus DRM, still makes me leery of ebook readers.\u00a0 That said, when a Kindle is eventually selling for $50, it&#8217;s going to be more successful an a $500 (or even $400) tablet.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><strong>iPods<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Apple continues to dominate the digital media player space, but sales for its once-groundbreaking device are falling year-over-year. Analysts blame the lackluster sales on the growth of the iPhone and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ipadnewsdaily.com\/ipad-could-cause-insomnia-researchers-say-0754\/\">iPad<\/a>, which can also serve as a music player in addition to their other  offerings.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>I&#8217;ve been reluctant to complicate my phone with music.\u00a0 I suspect that dedicated MP3 players will, in fact, go away.\u00a0 But when?\u00a0 Hard to say.\u00a0 Not terribly soon.<\/p>\n<p>So, am I being a blind Luddite, or are some folks way too enthusiatic about technology and how it will penetrate the market?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>An interesting article here that seems the appropriate sort of thing for me to piece through &#8230;. 11 Technologies in Danger of Going Extinct | LiveScience Here are 11 devices \u2014 some you&#8217;d expect and some you might not \u2014 that are still roaming the streets but facing rapid extinction. Fax Machines It\u2019s true that &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2010\/09\/01\/technology-tottering-toward-extinction.html\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Technology tottering toward extinction?&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_seopress_robots_primary_cat":"","_seopress_titles_title":"","_seopress_titles_desc":"","_seopress_robots_index":"","_seopress_analysis_target_kw":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[20],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-18365","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-hi-tech"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":11256,"url":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2007\/10\/09\/a_suggestion_for_you_folk.html","url_meta":{"origin":18365,"position":0},"title":"A suggestion for you folks who fax things","author":"***Dave","date":"Tue 9-Oct-07 1:02pm","format":false,"excerpt":"Be sure your fax machine actually faxes readable images. Oh, and that you include a e-mail on your fax, not just a scribble phone number. That way, if you inadvertently...","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Hi-Tech&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Hi-Tech","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/category\/hi-tech"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":8193,"url":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2005\/04\/28\/war_is_peace_ig.html","url_meta":{"origin":18365,"position":1},"title":"War is Peace, Ignorance is Strength,  Prevention is Permission","author":"***Dave","date":"Thu 28-Apr-05 3:26pm","format":false,"excerpt":"On the heels of the oh-so-effective CAN-SPAM Act of a year or two ago (the one that (a) didn't do a thing to stop real spam, but (b) gave vendors...","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Spam&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Spam","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/category\/blogging\/computer-security\/spam"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":6803,"url":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2004\/12\/28\/end_of_an_eera.html","url_meta":{"origin":18365,"position":2},"title":"End of an eEra","author":"***Dave","date":"Tue 28-Dec-04 4:18pm","format":false,"excerpt":"Several years ago, I signed up with a service called eFax, which let me, for free, receive faxes by e-mail. Folks would call a number (up in Minnesota, I believe)...","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Hi-Tech&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Hi-Tech","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/category\/hi-tech"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":9496,"url":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2006\/06\/26\/spammers_must_d.html","url_meta":{"origin":18365,"position":3},"title":"SPAMMERS MUST DIE!","author":"***Dave","date":"Mon 26-Jun-06 7:41am","format":false,"excerpt":"No, really. I'm willing to show a degree of mercy and tolerance (unparolable life in prison at hard labor, let's say, somewhere in the Nevada desert) for murderers, rapists, molesters,...","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Spam&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Spam","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/category\/blogging\/computer-security\/spam"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":7626,"url":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2005\/01\/25\/no_tech_for_you.html","url_meta":{"origin":18365,"position":4},"title":"No tech for you!","author":"***Dave","date":"Tue 25-Jan-05 9:07am","format":false,"excerpt":"Endangered Gizmos, as presented by the EFF: FCC Chairman Michael Powell calls TiVo \"God's machine,\" and its devotees have been known to declare, \"You can take my TiVo when you...","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Hi-Tech&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Hi-Tech","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/category\/hi-tech"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":2859,"url":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2002\/09\/12\/sublime_to_ridi.html","url_meta":{"origin":18365,"position":5},"title":"Sublime to ridiculous","author":"***Dave","date":"Thu 12-Sep-02 6:45am","format":false,"excerpt":"It seems a little silly segueing from a discussion of 9-11 events to the current status of Farscape, but silliness is our business around here. Badh*p reports that, thought the...","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Media &amp; Culture&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Media &amp; Culture","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/category\/media"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18365","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=18365"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18365\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=18365"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=18365"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=18365"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}