{"id":26102,"date":"2012-02-06T07:54:53","date_gmt":"2012-02-06T14:54:53","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2012\/02\/06\/the-result-will-depend-on-the-contest.html"},"modified":"2012-02-06T20:08:46","modified_gmt":"2012-02-07T03:08:46","slug":"the-result-will-depend-on-the-contest","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2012\/02\/06\/the-result-will-depend-on-the-contest.html","title":{"rendered":"The result will depend on the contest"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>If the November election is about Obama vs. the Economy, or even Obama vs. Obama, he might well have problems (even thought the economy is, in fact, improving).<\/p>\n<p>If the November election is Obama vs. Romney, Obama is much more likely to succeed.<\/p>\n<p>Of course, this is polling before the GOP primaries are over, 9 months before the election, with plenty of room for slips, trips, and falls.  But I suspect those will be the basic themes we&#39;ll see the candidates and their parties pursue.  #ddtb<\/p>\n<p style='clear:both;'>\n<p style='margin-bottom:5px;'><strong>Embedded Link<\/strong><\/p>\n<div style='height:120px;width:120px;overflow:hidden;float:left;margin-top:0px;padding-top:0px;margin-right:10px;vertical-align:top;text-align:center;clear:both;'>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img style='max-width:none;' src='http:\/\/images0-focus-opensocial.googleusercontent.com\/gadgets\/proxy?container=focus&#038;gadget=a&#038;resize_h=100&#038;url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.washingtonpost.com%2Frf%2Fimage_606w%2F2010-2019%2FWashingtonPost%2F2012%2F02%2F06%2FNational-Politics%2FImages%2F2012-02-03T172607Z_01_WAS305_RTRIDSP_3_OBAMA.jpg' border='0' \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href='http:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/politics\/obama-holds-edge-over-romney-in-general-election-matchup-poll-finds\/2012\/02\/05\/gIQA5JX0sQ_story.html?hpid=z1'>Obama holds edge over Romney in general election matchup, poll finds<\/a><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tPresident Obama has an edge over Mitt Romney in a hypothetical general election matchup, boosted by improved public confidence in Obama\u2019s economic stewardship.\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n<p style='clear:both;'>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>If the November election is about Obama vs. the Economy, or even Obama vs. Obama, he might well have problems (even thought the economy is, in fact, improving). If the November election is Obama vs. Romney, Obama is much more likely to succeed. Of course, this is polling before the GOP primaries are over, 9 &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2012\/02\/06\/the-result-will-depend-on-the-contest.html\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;The result will depend on the contest&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_seopress_robots_primary_cat":"","_seopress_titles_title":"","_seopress_titles_desc":"","_seopress_robots_index":"","_seopress_analysis_target_kw":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[106,99],"tags":[107],"class_list":["post-26102","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-plusposts","category-elections-2012","tag-ddtb"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":24852,"url":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2011\/12\/26\/obama-as-the-conservative-candidate.html","url_meta":{"origin":26102,"position":0},"title":"Obama as the &quot;conservative&quot; candidate","author":"***Dave","date":"Mon 26-Dec-11 11:05am","format":false,"excerpt":"In this case, Steve Benan notes, not in terms of Obama holding center or center-right positions, but because he's the one working to preserve a century-plus-long consensus as to the role of government (see the Preamble to the Constitution), vs. a GOP slate that wants to overturn that in favor\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;~PlusPosts&quot;","block_context":{"text":"~PlusPosts","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/category\/blogging\/plusposts"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":24498,"url":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2011\/12\/13\/poll-axed.html","url_meta":{"origin":26102,"position":1},"title":"Poll-axed","author":"***Dave","date":"Tue 13-Dec-11 12:23pm","format":false,"excerpt":"Okay, starting with the caveats that (a) it is way to early to place much if any faith in polls (I'd wait until after both formal nominations, at the earliest, to worry \/ rejoice, and even there I'd be cautious), and (b) a lot of the divisions in the GOP\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;~PlusPosts&quot;","block_context":{"text":"~PlusPosts","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/category\/blogging\/plusposts"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":27521,"url":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2012\/04\/23\/the-youth-vote-in-2012.html","url_meta":{"origin":26102,"position":2},"title":"The Youth Vote in 2012","author":"***Dave","date":"Mon 23-Apr-12 11:20am","format":false,"excerpt":"It's going to be interesting to see how the campaigns approach different demographic groups during the coming presidential election, particularly from an age standpoint. I find it difficult to believe that the Colorado youth vote would trend Rodney, except among die-hard Young Republicans. A greater risk for the Obama team\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;~PlusPosts&quot;","block_context":{"text":"~PlusPosts","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/category\/blogging\/plusposts"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":26244,"url":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2012\/02\/09\/so-tell-me-again-who-obama-is-offending.html","url_meta":{"origin":26102,"position":3},"title":"So tell me again who Obama is offending?","author":"***Dave","date":"Thu 9-Feb-12 1:35pm","format":false,"excerpt":"Ever since the whole contraception coverage kerfuffle, people have been gasping about how Obama is offending Catholics, and how it's sure to lose him the election.But given the rates at which Catholics use contraception, and given how Catholic laity respond in polls about this question, it's not at all clear\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;~PlusPosts&quot;","block_context":{"text":"~PlusPosts","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/category\/blogging\/plusposts"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":27320,"url":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2012\/04\/03\/running-on-their-record.html","url_meta":{"origin":26102,"position":4},"title":"Running on their record","author":"***Dave","date":"Tue 3-Apr-12 5:49pm","format":false,"excerpt":"Folks have been expecting Obama to pick and choose from an overly-long GOP primary and its greatest gaffes and goofiness to be part of his political campaign. And it looks like that's where he's going.He'll have to do more than that, but reminding folks of the overall GOP field (and\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;~PlusPosts&quot;","block_context":{"text":"~PlusPosts","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/category\/blogging\/plusposts"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":26063,"url":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2012\/02\/04\/the-money-game-for-the-2012-elections.html","url_meta":{"origin":26102,"position":5},"title":"The Money Game for the 2012 Elections","author":"***Dave","date":"Sat 4-Feb-12 9:34pm","format":false,"excerpt":"An interesting comparison, in a number of ways, between Obama and Romney's money-raising to date -- total numbers, timing, sources, all of it. Good stuff. #ddtb Embedded Link The 2012 Money Race: Compare the Candidates - Campaign Finance - Election 2012 - NYTimes.com Campaign Finance for the 2012 presidential election.","rel":"","context":"In &quot;~PlusPosts&quot;","block_context":{"text":"~PlusPosts","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/category\/blogging\/plusposts"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26102","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=26102"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26102\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=26102"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=26102"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=26102"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}