{"id":30627,"date":"2012-10-17T06:12:18","date_gmt":"2012-10-17T12:12:18","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2012\/10\/17\/presidential-rules-of-thumb.html"},"modified":"2012-10-17T07:48:23","modified_gmt":"2012-10-17T13:48:23","slug":"presidential-rules-of-thumb","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2012\/10\/17\/presidential-rules-of-thumb.html","title":{"rendered":"Presidential Rules of Thumb"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Why common wisdom \/ precedent\u00a0about presidential candidates (&quot;No Republican has ever won in a month without an &#39;R&#39; in it!&quot;) are dubious natural \u00a0laws.<\/p>\n<p style='clear:both;'>\n<p style='margin-bottom:5px;'><strong>Embedded Link<\/strong><\/p>\n<div style='height:120px;width:120px;overflow:hidden;float:left;margin-top:0px;padding-top:0px;margin-right:10px;vertical-align:top;text-align:center;clear:both;'>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img style='max-width:none;' src='https:\/\/images0-focus-opensocial.googleusercontent.com\/gadgets\/proxy?container=focus&#038;gadget=a&#038;resize_h=100&#038;url=http%3A%2F%2Fimgs.xkcd.com%2Fcomics%2Felectoral_precedent.png' border='0' \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href='http:\/\/xkcd.com\/1122\/'>xkcd: Electoral Precedent<\/a><\/p>\n<p style='clear:both;'> <strong>Google+:<\/strong> <a href='https:\/\/plus.google.com\/101083456815352083930\/posts\/WnBTWUJu96f' target='_new'>View post on Google+<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Why common wisdom \/ precedent\u00a0about presidential candidates (&quot;No Republican has ever won in a month without an &#39;R&#39; in it!&quot;) are dubious natural \u00a0laws. Embedded Link xkcd: Electoral Precedent Google+: View post on Google+<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_seopress_titles_title":"","_seopress_titles_desc":"","_seopress_robots_index":"","_seopress_robots_follow":"","_seopress_robots_imageindex":"","_seopress_robots_snippet":"","_seopress_robots_primary_cat":"","_seopress_robots_breadcrumbs":"","_seopress_robots_freeze_modified_date":"","_seopress_robots_custom_modified_date":"","_seopress_robots_canonical":"","_seopress_social_fb_title":"","_seopress_social_fb_desc":"","_seopress_social_fb_img":"","_seopress_social_fb_img_attachment_id":0,"_seopress_social_fb_img_width":0,"_seopress_social_fb_img_height":0,"_seopress_social_twitter_title":"","_seopress_social_twitter_desc":"","_seopress_social_twitter_img":"","_seopress_social_twitter_img_attachment_id":0,"_seopress_social_twitter_img_width":0,"_seopress_social_twitter_img_height":0,"_seopress_redirections_value":"","_seopress_redirections_enabled":"","_seopress_redirections_enabled_regex":"","_seopress_redirections_logged_status":"","_seopress_redirections_param":"","_seopress_redirections_type":0,"_seopress_analysis_target_kw":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[106,99,9],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30627","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-plusposts","category-elections-2012","category-politics-law"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":132502,"url":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2017\/01\/04\/legislating-away-judicial-precedent.html","url_meta":{"origin":30627,"position":0},"title":"Legislating Away Judicial Precedent","author":"***Dave","date":"Wed 4-Jan-17 9:32am","format":false,"excerpt":"Rep. Steve King (R-IA)'s proposed law is awful for a couple of reasons:1. It's a dumb bill for King and his GOP cohorts, as some of the case law he's talking about effectively erasing is about so-called \"religious freedom,\" states rights, and limitations on executive agencies -- rulings that were\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;~PlusPosts&quot;","block_context":{"text":"~PlusPosts","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/category\/blogging\/plusposts"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":127900,"url":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2015\/09\/08\/so-do-they-want-america-to-lead-or-not.html","url_meta":{"origin":30627,"position":1},"title":"So do they want America to lead, or not?","author":"***Dave","date":"Tue 8-Sep-15 6:37am","format":false,"excerpt":"The GOP has been consistently (at least rhetorically) critical of \"lack of world leadership\" by the Obama Administration. The world doesn't trust us, they say, because Obama isn't making bold moves and flexing American power to demonstrate commitment to powerful policy goals.Which is why, of course, the GOP Congress is\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;~PlusPosts&quot;","block_context":{"text":"~PlusPosts","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/category\/blogging\/plusposts"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":133370,"url":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2017\/04\/28\/oh-the-weather-outside-is-frightful.html","url_meta":{"origin":30627,"position":2},"title":"Oh, the weather outside is frightful","author":"***Dave","date":"Fri 28-Apr-17 6:30pm","format":false,"excerpt":"Winter Storm Warning? On April 28th?Okay, so not without precedent, but, damn.Need to remember to try to shake off the cherry trees out front before I go to bed tonight. Everything inclined to bend is already bending over. \u00a0 View on Google+","rel":"","context":"In &quot;~PlusPosts&quot;","block_context":{"text":"~PlusPosts","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/category\/blogging\/plusposts"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/04\/IMG_20170428_181950.jpgimgmax%3D660.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/04\/IMG_20170428_181950.jpgimgmax%3D660.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/04\/IMG_20170428_181950.jpgimgmax%3D660.jpg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":132095,"url":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2016\/11\/23\/questioning-the-election.html","url_meta":{"origin":30627,"position":3},"title":"Questioning the Election","author":"***Dave","date":"Wed 23-Nov-16 9:21am","format":false,"excerpt":"Trump's accusations, through much of the presidential campaign, that the process was rigged raised a huge amount of protest, from both sides of the partisan aisle. Not only were the accusations baseless (i.e., there was no concrete reason to believe it true, and Trump offered none), but the very questioning\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;~PlusPosts&quot;","block_context":{"text":"~PlusPosts","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/category\/blogging\/plusposts"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":30464,"url":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2012\/10\/03\/the-state-of-the-presidential-race-in-the-state-of-colorado.html","url_meta":{"origin":30627,"position":4},"title":"The State of the Presidential Race in the State of Colorado","author":"***Dave","date":"Wed 3-Oct-12 2:06pm","format":false,"excerpt":"Nate is always an entertaining and informative read, and my personal statistician approves highly of him. Embedded Link Obama Leads, but a Romney Comeback Might Start Out West With Colorado If the presidential debates represent Mitt Romney's last, best chance at a comeback, Colorado and the Mountain West may present\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;~PlusPosts&quot;","block_context":{"text":"~PlusPosts","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/category\/blogging\/plusposts"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":29713,"url":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2012\/08\/14\/who-is-the-true-pro-life-presidential-candidate.html","url_meta":{"origin":30627,"position":5},"title":"Who is the true pro-life presidential candidate?","author":"***Dave","date":"Tue 14-Aug-12 9:49am","format":false,"excerpt":"A commentator from the National Catholic Reporter demonstrates it's not as simple as the Religious Right sound-bites make it. (h\/t Doug) Embedded Link Which presidential candidate is truly pro-life? | National Catholic Reporter COMMENTARY. 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