{"id":30921,"date":"2012-10-29T14:46:17","date_gmt":"2012-10-29T20:46:17","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2012\/10\/29\/the-new-right-wing-war-on-data.html"},"modified":"2012-11-01T09:18:08","modified_gmt":"2012-11-01T15:18:08","slug":"the-new-right-wing-war-on-data","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2012\/10\/29\/the-new-right-wing-war-on-data.html","title":{"rendered":"The New Right-Wing War on Data"},"content":{"rendered":"

I've been watching with growing incredulity the escalating series of attacks on Nate Silver of 538 (http:\/\/fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com<\/a>), all because he's refused to go along with the ever-increasing "Ro-mentum" meme from the GOP, and his analysis of aggregate poll data (the basis for which is freely available) doesn't show the race is running away in Mitt's favor. In fact, he has the audacity to show Obama as a narrow favorite.<\/p>\n

Recently these attacks have evolved from disagreements over how Silver crunches the numbers\u00a0to more deeply cogent and intellectual commentary on Silver … such as Dean Chambers\u00a0of "unskewedpolls.com<\/a>" describing Silver this way. "Nate Silver is a man of very small stature, a thin and effeminate man with a soft-sounding voice that sounds almost exactly like the 'Mr. New Castrati' voice used by Rush Limbaugh on his program. In fact, Silver could easily be the poster child for the New Castrati in both image and sound."<\/i> (http:\/\/www.examiner.com\/article\/the-far-left-turns-to-nate-silver-for-wisdom-on-the-polls<\/a>)<\/p>\n

Great example of "unskewed" analysis, Dean!<\/p>\n

I would normally simply lean back and let my house professional statistician\u00a0(my wife) defend Silver's work, but Nate\u00a0managed to do so in an even more entertaining fashion. After noting the above analysis by Chambers, he summed it up (https:\/\/twitter.com\/fivethirtyeight\/status\/262077837564076032<\/a>) as:<\/p>\n

"Unskewedpolls argument: Nate Silver seems kinda gay + ??? = Romney landslide!"<\/i><\/p>\n

\n

Embedded Link<\/strong><\/p>\n

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\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tNate Silver Addresses Accusation That He\u2019s \u201cToo Effeminate\u201d To Accurately Predict Election \u00ab Alan Colmes’ Liberaland<\/a><\/p>\n

Google+:<\/strong> View post on Google+<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

I've been watching with growing incredulity the escalating series of attacks on Nate Silver of 538 (http:\/\/fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com), all because he's refused to go along with the ever-increasing "Ro-mentum" meme from the GOP, and his analysis of aggregate poll data (the basis for which is freely available) doesn't show the race is running away in Mitt's … Continue reading “The New Right-Wing War on Data”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_seopress_robots_primary_cat":"","_seopress_titles_title":"","_seopress_titles_desc":"","_seopress_robots_index":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[106,100,99,6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30921","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-plusposts","category-dolts","category-elections-2012","category-science"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":32132,"url":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2013\/01\/10\/nate-silver-tells-it-all.html","url_meta":{"origin":30921,"position":0},"title":"Nate Silver Tells It All","author":"***Dave","date":"Thu 10-Jan-13 7:34pm","format":false,"excerpt":"Nate did an \"Ask Me Anything\" session on Reddit the other day. \u00a0Here are the questions he answered.One thing I've been pleased to see is that, from all indications, he's not letting his \"win\" in the elections go (unduly) to his head. Embedded Link Transcript of Nate Silver's 'Ask Me\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "~PlusPosts"","block_context":{"text":"~PlusPosts","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/category\/blogging\/plusposts"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":130004,"url":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2016\/03\/01\/nate-silver-on-the-chance-of-a-trump-election-8.html","url_meta":{"origin":30921,"position":1},"title":"Nate Silver on the chance of a Trump election","author":"***Dave","date":"Tue 1-Mar-16 5:51pm","format":false,"excerpt":"Executive Summary: Things are screwy right now, who who the hell knows?And he's right, for a variety of correct reasons. Things will triangulate further as primary season progresses, as the convention and nomination actually happen, as the Dems make their nomination (and the fall-out from that), and as the general\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "~PlusPosts"","block_context":{"text":"~PlusPosts","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/category\/blogging\/plusposts"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":31279,"url":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2012\/11\/08\/unskewed-apology.html","url_meta":{"origin":30921,"position":2},"title":"Unskewed apology","author":"***Dave","date":"Thu 8-Nov-12 10:10am","format":false,"excerpt":"Well, maybe not an apology, but Dean Chambers of Unskewedpolls.com is being\u00a0quite open in admitting that his poll interpretation model was way off, and that Nate Silver was correct. (Chambers had not only previously disagreed with Silver, but dismissed him as \"a thin and effeminate man with a soft-sounding voice\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "~PlusPosts"","block_context":{"text":"~PlusPosts","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/category\/blogging\/plusposts"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":31265,"url":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2012\/11\/07\/is-punditry-dead.html","url_meta":{"origin":30921,"position":3},"title":"Is Punditry Dead?","author":"***Dave","date":"Wed 7-Nov-12 10:26am","format":false,"excerpt":"Of course not. Because even though Nate Silver is a pleasant\u00a0enough fellow to hear being interviewed, and even though some of us get our kicks watching slow decimal point trending \u00a0over time and enjoy the wonkiness of models and aggregation and poll quality ... the fact is, TV (et al.)\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "~PlusPosts"","block_context":{"text":"~PlusPosts","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/category\/blogging\/plusposts"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":129384,"url":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2016\/01\/07\/i-say-we-just-skip-the-nfl-play-offs-then.html","url_meta":{"origin":30921,"position":4},"title":"I say we just skip the NFL play-offs, then!","author":"***Dave","date":"Thu 7-Jan-16 2:36pm","format":false,"excerpt":"If Nate Silver says the Denver Broncos are (slightly) favored to win the AFC, I say we just cut to the chase with the Super Bowl. Agreed?Though we have to have the Super Bowl, so ignore his prediction that the Carolina Panthers will win it. Nate Silver's Super Bowl projection\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "~PlusPosts"","block_context":{"text":"~PlusPosts","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/category\/blogging\/plusposts"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":128160,"url":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2015\/09\/25\/on-the-professional-application-of-probability-nomenclature.html","url_meta":{"origin":30921,"position":5},"title":"On the Professional Application of Probability Nomenclature","author":"***Dave","date":"Fri 25-Sep-15 11:54pm","format":false,"excerpt":"This one is, of course, for +Margie Kleerup, my in-house statistics wonk. What Does Probability Mean in Your Profession? (Small print: Does not apply to Nate Silver.) View on Google+","rel":"","context":"In "~PlusPosts"","block_context":{"text":"~PlusPosts","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/category\/blogging\/plusposts"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30921","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30921"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30921\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30921"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30921"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30921"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}