{"id":31031,"date":"2012-10-30T21:03:02","date_gmt":"2012-10-31T03:03:02","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2012\/10\/30\/rolling-the-dice-on-climate.html"},"modified":"2012-10-30T21:03:02","modified_gmt":"2012-10-31T03:03:02","slug":"rolling-the-dice-on-climate","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2012\/10\/30\/rolling-the-dice-on-climate.html","title":{"rendered":"Rolling the dice on climate"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>A nice analogy. \u00a0And part of what makes the matter so hard to prove even to those who are still open to being convinced.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Reshared post from +<a href='https:\/\/plus.google.com\/102356721871221463140'>George Wiman<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<blockquote><p><b>LOADING THE DICE<\/b><\/p>\n<p>You test some dice, and they produce a nice random output. Then you weight them so they preferentially come up sixes. Other numbers still come up, and the percentage of sixes is only raised a little, so you can&#39;t say your weighting caused any particular six. I mean, they came up six sometimes before, yes? But now the totals are coming up differently &#8211; and it&#39;s the fault of you and your little drill and weights.<\/p>\n<p>The next time someone says; &quot;You can&#39;t say this storm or that storm was caused by climate change&quot; think about those dice and those weights. How do you assess responsibility? The one thing you wouldn&#39;t do is shrug and go on with business as usual.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p style='clear:both;'> <strong>Google+:<\/strong> <a href='https:\/\/plus.google.com\/101083456815352083930\/posts\/UT8gVxcAmMo' target='_new'>View post on Google+<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A nice analogy. \u00a0And part of what makes the matter so hard to prove even to those who are still open to being convinced. Reshared post from +George Wiman LOADING THE DICE You test some dice, and they produce a nice random output. Then you weight them so they preferentially come up sixes. Other numbers &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2012\/10\/30\/rolling-the-dice-on-climate.html\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Rolling the dice on climate&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_seopress_robots_primary_cat":"","_seopress_titles_title":"","_seopress_titles_desc":"","_seopress_robots_index":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[106],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-31031","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-plusposts"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":2895,"url":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2002\/09\/07\/speaking_of_bro.html","url_meta":{"origin":31031,"position":0},"title":"Speaking of broken links","author":"***Dave","date":"Sat 7-Sep-02 9:04pm","format":false,"excerpt":"Went Golfing for God today. Well, sorta. It was our parish's annual golf get-together. Since I haven't been golfing much this season, I expected I would have problems. It's nice...","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Golf&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Golf","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/category\/golf"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":39817,"url":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2013\/11\/27\/for-anyone-air-traveling-today.html","url_meta":{"origin":31031,"position":1},"title":"For anyone air traveling today","author":"***Dave","date":"Wed 27-Nov-13 7:06am","format":false,"excerpt":"Especially folks in the Eastern US where it seems there's a nasty storm on the way. \u00a0Be safe, be warm, and be putting those airline phone numbers in your mobile before you get to the airport.\ufeff Some tips for surviving bad weather airport delays | NEW YORK (AP) - Nasty\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;~PlusPosts&quot;","block_context":{"text":"~PlusPosts","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/category\/blogging\/plusposts"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":42113,"url":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2014\/05\/21\/moving-the-climate-change-debate-from-if-to-who-pays.html","url_meta":{"origin":31031,"position":2},"title":"Moving the climate change debate from &quot;if&quot; to &quot;who pays&quot;","author":"***Dave","date":"Wed 21-May-14 7:47am","format":false,"excerpt":"Moving the climate change debate from \"if\" to \"who pays\"Farmers Insurance is suing a number of Chicago area municipalities for failing to plan and upgrade infrastructure appropriately in the face of extreme weather associated with climate change -- in this case a major storm that caused sewer and stormwater drain\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;~PlusPosts&quot;","block_context":{"text":"~PlusPosts","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/category\/blogging\/plusposts"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":138276,"url":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2019\/03\/13\/beware-the-bomb-cyclone.html","url_meta":{"origin":31031,"position":3},"title":"Beware the Bomb Cyclone!","author":"***Dave","date":"Wed 13-Mar-19 11:14am","format":false,"excerpt":"It's not enough to have just plain old blizzards any more","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Climate Change \/ Weather \/ Disasters&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Climate Change \/ Weather \/ Disasters","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/category\/science\/weather-and-climate-change"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/denver-blizzard.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/denver-blizzard.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/denver-blizzard.jpg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":4261,"url":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2003\/10\/06\/pip_pip.html","url_meta":{"origin":31031,"position":4},"title":"Pip-pip","author":"***Dave","date":"Mon 6-Oct-03 11:00am","format":false,"excerpt":"Why is it that you can't swing a dead Google search without hitting plenty of offers for 7-dice sets in various colors, but try to buy just individual dice (\"I'd...","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Gaming&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Gaming","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/category\/gaming"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":5960,"url":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2004\/06\/23\/thats_not_dayli.html","url_meta":{"origin":31031,"position":5},"title":"That&#8217;s not daylight &#8230;","author":"***Dave","date":"Wed 23-Jun-04 9:17am","format":false,"excerpt":"Man takes photos of lightning storm. Storm decides to reciprocate with lightning strike in his back yard. Man gets photo without realizing it. (via BoingBoing)...","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Climate Change \/ Weather \/ Disasters&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Climate Change \/ Weather \/ Disasters","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/category\/science\/weather-and-climate-change"},"img":{"alt_text":"lightning_tree_062104.jpg","src":"\/blog\/images\/lightning_tree_062104.jpg","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31031","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=31031"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31031\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=31031"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=31031"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=31031"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}