{"id":4796,"date":"2004-01-05T09:17:17","date_gmt":"2004-01-05T16:17:17","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp\/?p=4796"},"modified":"2004-01-05T09:17:17","modified_gmt":"2004-01-05T16:17:17","slug":"consensus","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2004\/01\/05\/consensus.html","title":{"rendered":"Consensus"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>A thought-provoking lecture by Michael Crichton last year at Caltech on <a title=\"Caltech Michelin Lecture\" href=\"http:\/\/www.crichton-official.com\/speeches\/speeches_quote04.html\">consensus science<\/a> and its pernicious role in debates over everything from nuclear winters to second-hand smoke to global warming.<\/p>\n<p class=\"block\">I regard consensus science as an extremely pernicious development that ought to be stopped cold in its tracks. Historically, the claim of consensus has been the first refuge of scoundrels; it is a way to avoid debate by claiming that the matter is already settled. Whenever you hear the consensus of scientists agrees on something or other, reach for your wallet, because you&#8217;re being had. <br \/>\nLet&#8217;s be clear: the work of science has nothing whatever to do with consensus. Consensus is the business of politics. Science, on the contrary, requires only one investigator who happens to be right, which means that he or she has results that are verifiable by reference to the real world. In science consensus is irrelevant. What is relevant is reproducible results. The greatest scientists in history are great precisely because they broke with the consensus. <br \/>\nThere is no such thing as consensus science. If it&#8217;s consensus, it isn&#8217;t science. If it&#8217;s science, it isn&#8217;t consensus. Period.<\/p>\n<p><small>(via <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ghostofaflea.com\/archives\/001184.html\">GoaF<\/a>)<\/small><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A thought-provoking lecture by Michael Crichton last year at Caltech on consensus science and its pernicious role in debates over everything from nuclear winters to second-hand smoke to global warming&#8230;.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_seopress_titles_title":"","_seopress_titles_desc":"","_seopress_robots_index":"","_seopress_robots_follow":"","_seopress_robots_imageindex":"","_seopress_robots_snippet":"","_seopress_robots_primary_cat":"","_seopress_robots_breadcrumbs":"","_seopress_robots_freeze_modified_date":"","_seopress_robots_custom_modified_date":"","_seopress_robots_canonical":"","_seopress_social_fb_title":"","_seopress_social_fb_desc":"","_seopress_social_fb_img":"","_seopress_social_fb_img_attachment_id":0,"_seopress_social_fb_img_width":0,"_seopress_social_fb_img_height":0,"_seopress_social_twitter_title":"","_seopress_social_twitter_desc":"","_seopress_social_twitter_img":"","_seopress_social_twitter_img_attachment_id":0,"_seopress_social_twitter_img_width":0,"_seopress_social_twitter_img_height":0,"_seopress_redirections_value":"","_seopress_redirections_enabled":"","_seopress_redirections_enabled_regex":"","_seopress_redirections_logged_status":"","_seopress_redirections_param":"","_seopress_redirections_type":0,"_seopress_analysis_target_kw":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4796","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-science"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":130959,"url":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2016\/06\/29\/the-predictable-partisanship-of-the-supreme-court.html","url_meta":{"origin":4796,"position":0},"title":"The Predictable Partisanship of the Supreme Court","author":"***Dave","date":"Wed 29-Jun-16 11:33pm","format":false,"excerpt":"I wonder to what extent the shift to being all jurists, all the time, is part of the predictability and partisan divides within SCOTUS. Back in an era when many of the appointees were former Senators, Governors, Attorneys General, or even Presidents, a somewhat more pragmatic approach could be taken,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;~PlusPosts&quot;","block_context":{"text":"~PlusPosts","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/category\/blogging\/plusposts"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":9495,"url":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2006\/06\/26\/episcopalian_ev.html","url_meta":{"origin":4796,"position":1},"title":"Episcopalian Evolution","author":"***Dave","date":"Mon 26-Jun-06 10:16am","format":false,"excerpt":"We may not yet have a straight message (so to speak) on the whole gay bishop \/ gay marriage thang (I still haven't dived into the serious analysis of the...","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Marriage Equality&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Marriage Equality","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/category\/politics-law\/marriage-equality"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":131682,"url":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2016\/09\/29\/usa-today-anti-endorses-donald-trump.html","url_meta":{"origin":4796,"position":2},"title":"&quot;USA Today&quot; anti-endorses Donald Trump","author":"***Dave","date":"Thu 29-Sep-16 9:04pm","format":false,"excerpt":"The editorial staff at USA Today, for the first time in the paper's 34 year history, has come up with a recommendation for President. Or, rather, a recommendation against a particualr presidential candidate.'This year, the choice isn\u2019t between two capable major party nominees who happen to have significant ideological differences.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;~PlusPosts&quot;","block_context":{"text":"~PlusPosts","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/category\/blogging\/plusposts"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":7318,"url":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2005\/03\/31\/requiescat_in_p.html","url_meta":{"origin":4796,"position":3},"title":"Requiescat in pace","author":"***Dave","date":"Thu 31-Mar-05 9:34am","format":false,"excerpt":"May Terri Schiavo, and her family, now finally find the peace that was denied them by the politicians, pundits, and the press. Her relatives and friends never reached a consensus...","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Health&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Health","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/category\/health"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":16031,"url":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2009\/10\/17\/unblogged-bits-for-saturday-17-october-2009.html","url_meta":{"origin":4796,"position":4},"title":"Unblogged Bits for Saturday, 17 October 2009","author":"***Dave","date":"Sat 17-Oct-09 6:00pm","format":false,"excerpt":"Links (most recent first) that caught my eye, but did not warrant full-blown blog entries .... Tropes and Mundanity: Edward M. Lerner British Court Orders Release Of Documents Showing Torture By US - Dark things cannot stand the light. Obama rips health insurance lobby as \u2018deceptive,\u2019 \u2018dishonest,\u2019 \u2018bogus.\u2019 - At\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Potpourri&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Potpourri","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/category\/potpourri"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":12817,"url":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2008\/09\/22\/landscaping_its_a_beautif.html","url_meta":{"origin":4796,"position":5},"title":"Landscaping &#8211; It&#8217;s a beautiful day in the neighborhood","author":"***Dave","date":"Mon 22-Sep-08 6:38pm","format":false,"excerpt":"So last week, over the course of days, most of the lady-folk in the neighborhood wandered over to our yard -- usually in conjunction with school bus time and the...","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Home Improvement&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Home Improvement","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/category\/home-improvement"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4796","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4796"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4796\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4796"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4796"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4796"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}