{"id":9984,"date":"2006-10-02T14:22:59","date_gmt":"2006-10-02T21:22:59","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp\/2006\/10\/02\/poll-ish.html"},"modified":"2006-10-02T14:22:59","modified_gmt":"2006-10-02T21:22:59","slug":"poll_ish","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2006\/10\/02\/poll_ish.html","title":{"rendered":"Poll-ish"},"content":{"rendered":"

Polls are, generally, for people who like to fool themselves into seeing what they want to see. But, like car crashes, they still have power to draw attention, especially as we hurtle closer to an important mid-term election. Electoral-vote.com<\/a> is back, tracking election polls for 2006.<\/p>\n

The bad news (to my mind) is that current aggregate polling doesn’t seem to show that the Dems will take back either house of Congress in November. The site estimates, at this point, we’ll see 48-52 in the Senate, 216-218 (1 “tie”) in the House. The good news is, that’s a hell of a lot better than what we have now, and with things that close, it will be a lot harder to shove through legislation from the GOP side.<\/p>\n

And, there’s still a month to go, and with the news going as it is, I expect more aggregate down-side for the Republicans than for the Democrats, the more time passes by.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Polls are, generally, for people who like to fool themselves into seeing what they want to see. But, like car crashes, they still have power to draw attention, especially as…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_seopress_robots_primary_cat":"","_seopress_titles_title":"","_seopress_titles_desc":"","_seopress_robots_index":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[9],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-9984","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-politics-law"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":30921,"url":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2012\/10\/29\/the-new-right-wing-war-on-data.html","url_meta":{"origin":9984,"position":0},"title":"The New Right-Wing War on Data","author":"***Dave","date":"Mon 29-Oct-12 2:46pm","format":false,"excerpt":"I've been watching with growing incredulity the escalating series of attacks on Nate Silver of 538 (http:\/\/fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com), all because he's refused to go along with the ever-increasing \"Ro-mentum\" meme from the GOP, and his analysis of aggregate poll data (the basis for which is freely available) doesn't show the race\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "~PlusPosts"","block_context":{"text":"~PlusPosts","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/category\/blogging\/plusposts"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":128661,"url":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2015\/11\/09\/really-just-ignore-the-presidential-polls-at-this-point.html","url_meta":{"origin":9984,"position":1},"title":"Really, just ignore the presidential polls at this point","author":"***Dave","date":"Mon 9-Nov-15 1:52pm","format":false,"excerpt":"We're a year from the actual election. We don't even know who the candidates are actually going to be (though Clinton seems pretty darned likely). A war, a terrorist attack, a downturn in the economy, an upturn in the economy, a dozen different national crises, personal scandals, or on-stage gaffes\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "~PlusPosts"","block_context":{"text":"~PlusPosts","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/category\/blogging\/plusposts"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":46220,"url":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2014\/11\/03\/so-the-election-is-tomorrow.html","url_meta":{"origin":9984,"position":2},"title":"So the election is tomorrow","author":"***Dave","date":"Mon 3-Nov-14 10:25pm","format":false,"excerpt":"I don't watch or obsess about the polls. I always assume My Side is on the verge of losing. If the polls say bad things, I don't want to hear it because that's if I don't acknowledge it, it wont be true. If the polls say good things, I don't\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "~PlusPosts"","block_context":{"text":"~PlusPosts","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/category\/blogging\/plusposts"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/11\/b7c45af5ed2d2a4b_16958936067135169_ETesZwOx_f%5B1%5D.jpgimgmax%3D660.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":6260,"url":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2004\/09\/30\/what_i_hope_for.html","url_meta":{"origin":9984,"position":3},"title":"What I hope for November 8th","author":"***Dave","date":"Thu 30-Sep-04 1:38pm","format":false,"excerpt":"I hope for an election that was not so close that we spend the next four years with half the country grumbling, \"We was robbed.\" I hope for an election...","rel":"","context":"In "Politics & Law"","block_context":{"text":"Politics & Law","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/category\/politics-law"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":130923,"url":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2016\/06\/19\/polls-tax-my-nerves.html","url_meta":{"origin":9984,"position":4},"title":"Polls Tax My Nerves","author":"***Dave","date":"Sun 19-Jun-16 2:12pm","format":false,"excerpt":"This past week I have read stories touting how Trump in Polling Death Spiral and Clinton Lead Over Trump Slips After Shooting and Trump Orlando Response Loses Poll Support and ...Folk. It's mid-June. The conventions have not occurred. The serious ad spends have not started. The \"October Surprise\"(s) are still\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "~PlusPosts"","block_context":{"text":"~PlusPosts","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/category\/blogging\/plusposts"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/deweywins5B15D.jpgimgmax%3D660.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/deweywins5B15D.jpgimgmax%3D660.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/deweywins5B15D.jpgimgmax%3D660.jpg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":131999,"url":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/2016\/11\/10\/little-differences-can-make-all-the-difference.html","url_meta":{"origin":9984,"position":5},"title":"Little differences can make all the difference","author":"***Dave","date":"Thu 10-Nov-16 8:05am","format":false,"excerpt":"If just 1 out of every 100 Trump voters had vote instead for Clinton, we'd have a different president, and a completely different set of \"lessons\" we'd be taking from this election. Which just goes to show (a) how a few people, in aggregate, can actually swing an election, (b)\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "~PlusPosts"","block_context":{"text":"~PlusPosts","link":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/category\/blogging\/plusposts"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9984","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9984"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9984\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9984"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9984"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/hill-kleerup.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9984"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}