1. Every pundit seems to have a strong idea that Their Candidate Will Win.
2. Some substantial proportion of those pundits (let's say 50%) will turn out to be, in fact, dead wrong.
3. All the wrong pundits will have plentiful reasons why their predictions were wrong, ranging from it being the fault of the electorate (poor turnout, lying to pollsters, flighty whimsy) to it being the fault of sinister forces (voter suppression, voter fraud) to it simply being One Of Those Things.
4. Not one single pundit will lose their job, stop being invited to news shows, or be too shamed to have a strong idea in 2016 that Their Candidate Will Win.
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The Volokh Conspiracy » Pundits and Predictions
I agree with most of Ilya’s post below on why political pundits are overconfident that their side will win elections. I would just add an even more cynical point: A lot of political pundits are overco…
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Depending on the outcome, the person I'm going to be the most interested in hearing from is Dick Morris. He's been predicting Romney in a landslide for a good while.
They are the entertainment industry… and being wrong is not flopping at the box office. Not being read is flopping at the box office. Being wrong is just putting out a disaster movie, as opposed to an action movie. Both sells.