Polls are, generally, for people who like to fool themselves into seeing what they want to see. But, like car crashes, they still have power to draw attention, especially as we hurtle closer to an important mid-term election. Electoral-vote.com is back, tracking election polls for 2006.
The bad news (to my mind) is that current aggregate polling doesn’t seem to show that the Dems will take back either house of Congress in November. The site estimates, at this point, we’ll see 48-52 in the Senate, 216-218 (1 “tie”) in the House. The good news is, that’s a hell of a lot better than what we have now, and with things that close, it will be a lot harder to shove through legislation from the GOP side.
And, there’s still a month to go, and with the news going as it is, I expect more aggregate down-side for the Republicans than for the Democrats, the more time passes by.
And, of course, the problem with polls is that they shift a lot (though the site does rolling averages) …
… so now they predict a 49/50 split in the Senate, with 1 tie.