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Electoral College watch

A week later, here we are (+ means an increase, * means unchanged, – means a decrease): Site Obama McCain Toss-Up ElectionProjection.com  364 – 174 + Electoral-vote.com 364 + 171 – 3 -…

A week later, here we are (+ means an increase, * means unchanged, – means a decrease):

Site Obama McCain Toss-Up

ElectionProjection.com 

364 

174 +

Electoral-vote.com

364 +

171 –

3 –

FiveThirtyEight.com

344 

194 +

Pollster.com

286 –

157 +

95 +

270ToWin.com

277 +

163 *

98 –

Hedgehog Report

326 –

212 +

FederalReview.com

338 –

166 –

34 +

3 Blue Dudes

313 –

166 –

59 +

Electoral Scoreboard

367 +

171 –

 

As previously predicted, the gap growth has stalled, and even it’s even contracted a bit. Different sources are showing some gains for Obama, more have gains for McCain, and a number have shown growth in the “tie” states. Note, though, that everyone on the list is now giving the electoral majority (in most cases very comfortably) to Obama.

Over in the other races, here’s how things are looking.

Site

Senate
(49-49)
 

House
(233-199)
Govs
(28-22)

ElectionProjection.com 

57-41

251-184

29-21
Electoral-vote.com

58-41

250-184

 

FiveThirtyEight.com

57-41

 

Pollster.com

55-39

246-166

27-21 

Electoral Scoreboard

53-39

 

 

I haven’t spelled out the tied and independent numbers; you can interpolate them.

The most interesting thing I’ve heard in the Senate race was a very sad scenario in which Joe Lieberman might still be able to wield influence, i.e., if the Dems get to 59 seats, and Joe ends up as the man who can give them a closure-ensuring 60. Now, that’s the kind of trouble one wants to be in, but I’d still almost be willing to sacrifice it in order to send him off to the wood shed (literally — have his office moved to a wood shed) where we don’t need to hear from him any more.

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