It’s been a couple of weeks since I’ve reported on the current electoral college predictions, waiting first for the debate, then for the bailout bit to finally percolate into the polls.
And the results? Things are looking pretty darned encouraging (if by no means locked up, especially a month in advance) for the Obama camp.
| Site | Obama | McCain | Toss-Up |
| 273 | 265 | ||
| Electoral-vote.com | 281 | 230 | 27 |
| FiveThirtyEight.com | 336 | 202 | |
| Pollster.com | 250 | 163 | 125 |
| 270ToWin.com | 202 | 163 | 173 |
| Hedgehog Report | 364 | 174 | |
| FederalReview.com | 282 | 185 | 71 |
| 3 Blue Dudes | 250 | 163 | 126 |
Of the above, every single site gives Obama the lead, and five of the eight give him enough electoral votes for the win. 3 Blue Dudes does an even broader survey, and they only find one site giving the lead to McCain. And note that these are not all “liberal” Obama-loving sites. Most are fairly neutral. The one with the biggest Obama projection has a “Vote McCain” button in the sidebar, and another that gives Obama a win is clearly, vehemently against the Democrat.
Most of the sites are now giving Colorado — cautiously — to Obama. Indiana, Florida, Virginia, North Caroline, Pennsylvania, Ohio, all show as in play.
Now, this is still early days. The election is over a month away, and while looking at McCain’s current performance (not to mention that of his running mate) it seems unlikely that anything could turn the election, we still have debates, Bradley Effects, and various unknowns and “surprises” ahead.
But I’m feeling very, very guardedly optimistic. (And sure that I am now jinxing it.)
*
Recently an insurance company nearly wind up….
A bank is nearly bankrupt……filing chapter 11 protection.
How it affect you? Did you buy insurance? Did you buy mini note or bonds?
Who fault?
They bailout trouble finance company, but they will not bail out your credit card bills……You got no choice, and no point pointing finger but you can prevent similar things from happen again……
The top management of the Public listed company ( belong to “public” ) salary should be tied a portion of it to the shares price ( IPO or ave 5 years )…. so when the shares price drop, it don’t just penalise the investors, but those who don’t take care of the company…..If this rule is pass on, without any need of further regulation, all industries ( as long as it is public listed ) will be self regulated……because the top management will be concern about their own pay check……
Some might feel that it sound stupid….. as there is long and Short position…but in reality there is still many different caliber CEO…..so there is still long and short…..They can ban short selling definitely they can do something about this…….
Are you a partisan?
Sign a petition to your favourite president candidate, congress member, House of representative again and ask for their views to comment on this, and what regulations they are going to raise for implementation…..If you agree on my point, please share with many people as possible…. Finance and Media are the two only industries can shaken politics ( Maybe Hackers can ), please help to highlight also…
http://remindmyselfinstock.blogspot.com/
Hold on- I answered the “Pay them in shares” arguement on another thread. Why repeat it here? I sense spam people