Electoral College Watch

A week later (and a day before The Big Day), here we are at long last. This will be the last one of these I do, except as a retrospective with the “final” numbers. Here’s hoping it’s not an open-mouthed “where did everyone go wrong?” post.

(+ means an increase, * means unchanged, – means a decrease)

Obama maintains his significant (if electoral-magnified) lead and lock in all the polls and results. Several sites have shown that number dropping; a few have showed it increasing (mostly at the expense of toss-ups). None of the sites — left-or-right-leaning — sees McCain winning the EC.

Over in the other races, here’s how things are looking (the top number is the current split; the +/*/- refers to the Democrat numbers):

Numbers here have gotten pretty stable. The Dems will be close to, but certainly not at or over a filibuster-proof Senate. It will be interesting to see how that plays out, as it means that only a few Senators crossing the aisle can make stuff happen if it is worth their while or if they believe strongly in it. It does mean that a disciplined GOP can, if they are willing to, block pretty much anything the Dems put forward. Will that make for a restraint on excess, or a gridlock that belies the Obama narrative of change and reconciliation?

Looks like we’ll get a chance to see.