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The Colorado GOP Caucus

Well, interesting results; I don't think it will change the ultimate picture for long, but we'll see.

Romney basically took the Denver/Boulder area, the I70 corridor most of the way across the state, and the NW corner of Colorado (what's the Mormon population up there?). Santorum took almost everything else (except one SE plains county where Gingrich beat him with a whopping 25-22).

This, along with the other states that went for Santorum last night, will generate lots of headlines, and maybe a rush of cash, but they're pretty small beer compared to the states coming up — states where I expect Romney to do much better on his inevitable march to the nomination. I'm tempted to count Gingrich out except for the speech-making (which is mostly what he's in it for anyway), and I've no idea if Paul will go 3rd Party or not, but things have swung around in mysterious ways in this race so far, so I wouldn't put big money on any of the above predictions.

What it does seem to show is that the race between "mainstream" GOP and "winger / conservative / Tea Party / evangelical" GOP is still alive and kicking, and apparently lining up between Romney and Santorum in that way (Gingrich having opened his mouth too many times). Colorado's an interesting state, and that NW patch aside, what you see here is pretty in line with what you'd expect — a relatively moderate-to-liberal urban core around Denver, stretching somewhat through the resort/tourist towns of the I70 corridor in the Rockies, an arch-conservative / evangelical / military stronghold down in the Springs, and the rest being rural conservative of a more Tea Party (or at least "big government, leave us the hell alone) bent, the type that isn't necessarily rabid Santorum types, but definitely wouldn't be thrilled by Big Money Mitt.

Should be entertaining for at least another month. #ddtb

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